Tag Archives: policy

For the UK, 2016 Was Likely the Year of Peak Demand for Internal Combustion Cars

The Car Market In the UK Has Now Fundamentally Changed 2016 probably marked the peak of sales growth for conventionally-fuelled, non-electric internal-combustion vehicles in the UK – meaning they are now likely in long-term sales decline. A short-hand way of describing this … Continue reading

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Peak Demand, Relentless Supply – Paper 1, The Outside View

Paper 1 – The Outside View The energy industry is going through a major transition comprising three key events: the peaking of global fossil fuel demand as China and other growth markets plateau, the rise of new energy supply from … Continue reading

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Necessity and Physics – An Energy Transformation by 2020

Note – A version of this  is available in pdf format in the White Papers section of the site SUMMARY Renewables will likely dominate energy growth by 2020, led by China’s strategic energy requirements, relegating fossil fuels to a residual supply … Continue reading

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No Plan B

Big Oil’s Single, Fixed Strategy is Vulnerable International oil companies have one strategy: they assume stable, growing oil demand and so invest continuously to expand reserves, production and revenue, to deliver enduring value. But they are also the highest cost … Continue reading

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Business-as-Usual is a Dangerous Scenario

Most Oil Demand Forecasts are far too Optimistic –  Leaving Companies Unprepared for Change For most energy companies, the drivers they use to compute energy demand are population changes and global economic development, both of which have always increased. Companies can … Continue reading

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