Tag Archives: fragility

Dominance vs Growth: The Battle for 21st Century Energy

The energy transition ahead is unlikely to be a straight-line substitution of one fuel source by another. It’s more likely a vast disruption, globally, as solar and wind smoothly capture power growth, and  incumbents can only downscale via a succession of large … Continue reading

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The Flat-Packing of Energy

The Emergence of a Less Fragile, More Flexible and Scalable Energy System Three reasons why the energy world is undergoing rapid change: manufacturing-based economics, energy security and scalability. ___________________________ “Fragility occurs when big is forced into doing what was best … Continue reading

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Gadfly – A Nuclear Lesson for Big Oil

“It is a reasonable bet that the $24 billion Hinkley Point C nuclear power project in the U.K., due online in 2025, will neither be ready by 2025 nor cost just $24 billion.” So begins a recent Bloomberg Gadfly energy article … Continue reading

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Bloomberg Gadfly – Big Projects, Big Problems

We’ve covered big oil’s structural problems with big projects in a number of posts this year – see Megafragility for example. I have also contrasted this with the alternate world of manufacturing improvements and their increasingly sustainable impact on shale oil … Continue reading

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Megafragility

Do industrial megaprojects over-run because they are badly managed, or because they are big? It’s mainly because they are big. In brief: There is increasing evidence for the substantial performance problems with large scale energy megaprojects being mostly structural and … Continue reading

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