Tag Archives: electric vehicles

The Other Side of The Equation: Oil Growth now Depends on Consumer Choice more than Industry Demand

Car as Device, Gasoline as Consumer Good Reviewing US gasoline consumption in detail reveals the emergence of a deeper trend for crude oil demand: it’s future growth depends increasingly on its capability as a consumer good, not as an industrial commodity. In its … Continue reading

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Short the (Expensive) Horses: The numbers behind fossil fuel’s decline

For all the strengths of the incumbent thermal fossil fuel system, mainly its energy density and transportability, it is not an inherently scalable technology – and it is vulnerable to one that is.

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How to Underestimate EV Demand

As the auto industry enters version 2.0, forecasting future sales of EVs is a crucial piece of work. But most projections, especially from the oil industry, use the wrong curve, and so underestimate demand.

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The First Law of Thermodynamics – Energy Is Becoming a Buyer’s Market

Energy cannot be created or destroyed, but can be altered from one state to another (1). Oil Supply Dwarfs Demand – Official “There is an abundance of oil: known resources today dwarf the world’s likely consumption of oil out to 2050 and … Continue reading

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For the UK, 2016 Was Likely the Year of Peak Demand for Internal Combustion Cars

The Car Market In the UK Has Now Fundamentally Changed 2016 probably marked the peak of sales growth for conventionally-fuelled, non-electric internal-combustion vehicles in the UK – meaning they are now likely in long-term sales decline. A short-hand way of describing this … Continue reading

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