Category Archives: Science and Economics Links

Exxon’s Dangerous Energy Vision

 “Forecasts are not always wrong; more often than not, they can be reasonably accurate. And that is what makes them so dangerous…
They often work because the world does not always change. But sooner or later forecasts will fail when they … Continue reading

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How to Underestimate EV Demand

As the auto industry enters version 2.0, forecasting future sales of EVs is a crucial piece of work. But most projections, especially from the oil industry, use the wrong curve, and so underestimate demand.

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Bloomberg Gadfly – Big Projects, Big Problems

We’ve covered big oil’s structural problems with big projects in a number of posts this year – see Megafragility for example. I have also contrasted this with the alternate world of manufacturing improvements and their increasingly sustainable impact on shale oil … Continue reading

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What’s Warming the World, really? The NASA / Bloomberg view.

This won’t close any debate – but lets try to keep to some facts. I note in various comments threads on major energy media sites, and blogs, a lot of erudite financial and economic responses. There is also a lot … Continue reading

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