Category Archives: Science and Economics Links

Dead on Arrival: How to Underestimate EV Demand

As the auto industry enters version 2.0, forecasting future sales of EVs is a crucial piece of work. But most projections, especially from the oil industry, use the wrong curve, and so underestimate demand. The Missing S Curve Here’s a funny thing. Most analysis of technological innovation refers to … Continue reading

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Bloomberg Gadfly – Big Projects, Big Problems

We’ve covered big oil’s structural problems with big projects in a number of posts this year – see Megafragility for example. I have also contrasted this with the alternate world of manufacturing improvements and their increasingly sustainable impact on shale oil … Continue reading

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What’s Warming the World, really? The NASA / Bloomberg view.

This won’t close any debate – but lets try to keep to some facts. I note in various comments threads on major energy media sites, and blogs, a lot of erudite financial and economic responses. There is also a lot … Continue reading

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